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951.
Forty-eight samples are chosen to discuss the distribution in space and time of the cooling fluctuation events during Holocene
in the tropical zone of China in this paper. The authors consider that the Neoglaciations II and III (or Cooling Event) have
a widespread impact on the drop in temperature of 1–2 °C or less than 2 °C. The YD Event was dated at 11,300-10,200 a BP in
the tropical mainland and its dating is 11,400-10,500 a BP in the sea area with a drop in temperature of 4–6 °C. The distribution
of Event B and Neoglaciation I is taking a position of north, with a drop in temperature of 2.5–3.0 °C. The Cooling Event
shows the temporality in time. The Cooling Event shows the limitation of regional distribution with a drop in temperature
of less than 1.5°C. The more recent the cooling event is, the smaller the drop amplitude in temperature will be. In the eastern
part of tropical zone seven events are complete in all varieties but the cooling fluctuation is weaker in the western part.
In Hainan Island and South China Sea the appearance of cooling fluctuations is synchronous with each other. 相似文献
952.
By using a beta-plane quasigeostrophic barotropic model,four numerical experiments withintegration time more than five days are performed.Results show that the vorticity advection termand beta term are two basic factors significantly affecting tropical cyclone structure and motion. 相似文献
953.
Zuohao Cao G.W.K. Moore Department of Physics University of Toronto Toronto Ontario Canada MS A 《大气科学进展》1998,(2)
ADiagnosticStudyofMoistPotentialVorticityGenerationinanExtratropicalCyclone①ZuohaoCaoandG.W.K.MoreDepartmentofPhysics,Univers... 相似文献
954.
Following the theoretical result of Eliassen, the Sawyer-Eliassen equation for frontal circulations and the equation for forcing
the meridional circulation within a circumpolar vortex are extended in isentropic coordinates to des-cribe the forcing of
the azimuthally averaged mass-weighted radial-vertical circulation within translating extratropical and tropical cyclones.
Several physical processes which are not evident in studies employing isobaric coordinates are isolated in this isentropic
study. These processes include the effects of pressure torque, inertial torque and storm translation that are associated with
the asymmetric structure in isentropic coordinates. This isentropic study also includes the effects of eddy angular momentum
transport, diabatic heating and frictional torque that are common in both isentropic and isobaric studies. All of the processes
are modulated by static, inertial and baroclinic stabilities.
Consistent with the theoretical result of Eliassen, the numerical solution from this isentropic study shows that the roles
of torque, diabatic heating and hydrodynamic stability in forcing the radial-vertical circulation within stable vortices are
that 1) positive (negative) torque which results in the counterclockwise (clockwise) rotation of vortices also forces the
outflow (inflow) branch of the radial-vertical circulation, 2) diabatic heating (cooling) forces the ascent (descent) branch
of the radial-vertical circulation and 3) for given forcing, the weaker hydrodynamic stability results in a stronger radial-vertical
circulation. It is the net inflow or convergence (net outflow or divergence), vertical motions and the associated redistribution
of properties that favor the evolution of vortices with colorful weather events.
Numerical solutions of this isentropic study are given in companion articles. The relatively important contribution of various
physical processes to the forcing of the azimuthally-averaged mass-weighted radial-vertical circulation within different translating
cyclones and in their different stages of development will be investigated. 相似文献
955.
The data analyses indicated that the occurrence of EL Nino event is closely related to intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) in the tropical atmosphere: The intraseasonal oscillation is very strong in tile tropics (particularly over the equatorial western Pacific) prior to the occurrence of El Nino; But the ISO is evidently reduced and the quasistationary system is enhanced after the outbreak of El Nino. A simple air-sea coupled model study shows that the periodical self-excited oscillation can be produced in the air-sea-coupled system, but the pattern is different from the observed ENSO mode. When there is external (atmospheric) forcing with interannual time scale, a coupled mode, which looks like the ENSO mode, will be excited in the air-sea system. Synthesizing the results in data analyses and the theoretical investigation. the mechanism of ISO in the tropical atmosphere exciting the El Nino event can be suggested : The interannual anomalies (variations) of the tropical ISO play an important role in the exciting El Nino event through the air-sea interaction. 相似文献
956.
利用中国气象局提供的西北太平洋台风最佳路径数据集、欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)的ERA5再分析资料、美国国家航空航天局(NASA)的HORIZONS系统天文资料,采用统计学方法,分析了1949—2019年西北太平洋生成的热带气旋路径上各节点所受引潮力,并诊断引潮力与大气环流之间的关系。结果表明:1)向上垂直引潮力越大,热带气旋生成数越多、增强速度越快,同时向西移速增大。水平引潮力方位角与热带气旋前进方向接近时,垂直引潮力增强的效果更明显。2)在西北太平洋热带气旋活跃期(7—10月),向上的垂直引潮力有利于大气的上升运动,导致对流层中层(高层)辐合(辐散),形成有利于热带气旋发展的环流配置结构。 相似文献
957.
利用24个第五次耦合模式比较计划(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5,CMIP5)历史试验资料,本文评估了在太阳年代际尺度准11 a周期变化下能否激发出热带太平洋显著的类拉尼娜型海表温度异常的模拟能力。再分析资料分析结果表明,“自下而上”机制解释了在太阳强迫偏强的年份,热带太平洋更容易呈现出显著的类拉尼娜型海温异常。CMIP5模式的评估结果显示,有2/5的模式可以基本再现再分析资料中太阳强迫影响下的热带东太平洋海温负异常,这些模式分为类拉尼娜组;而另有3/5的模式模拟出了相反的信号,分为类厄尔尼诺组。为了进一步探讨CMIP5模式模拟能力不同的原因,本文分析了“自下而上”机制在模式中的表现。“自下而上”机制可分为蒸发过程和海洋恒温(thermostat)过程。结果表明,模式能否模拟出类拉尼娜型海温响应取决于thermostat过程的强弱,其中类拉尼娜组的thermostat过程更强;而蒸发过程没有起到关键作用。 相似文献
958.
Tropical cyclone (TC) rainfall forecast has remained a challenge. To create initial conditions with high quality for simulation, the present study implemented a data assimilation scheme based on the EnKF method to ingest the satellite-retrieved cloud water path ( C w ) and tested it in WRF. The scheme uses the vertical integration of forecasted cloud water content to transform control variables to the observation space, and creates the correlations between C w and control variables in the flow-dependent background error covariance based on all the ensemble members, so that the
observed cloud information can affect the background temperature and humidity. For two typhoons in 2018 (Yagi and Rumiba), assimilating C w significantly increases the simulated rainfalls and TC intensities. In terms of the average equitable threat score of daily moderate to heavy rainfall (5?120 mm), the improvements are over 130%, and the dry biases are cut by about 30%. Such improvements are traced down to the fact that C w assimilation increases the moisture content, especially that further away from the TC center, which provides more precipitable water for the rainfall,strengthens the TC and broadens the TC size via latent heat release and internal wind field adjustment. 相似文献
959.
In this study, the Dynamical-Statistical-Analog Ensemble Forecast model (DSAEF_LTP model) for landfalling tropical cyclone (LTC) precipitation was employed to simulate the precipitation of 10 LTCs that occurred Pover China in 2018. With adding parameter‘similarity region scheme’(SRS) values and introducing TC intensity into the generalized initial value (GIV), four groups of precipitation simulation experiments were designed to verify the forecasting ability of the improved model for more TC samples. Results show that the simulation ability of the DSAEF_LTP model can be optimized regardless of whether adding SRS values only, or introducing TC intensity into GIV, while the experiment with both the two improvements shows a more prominent advantage in simulating the heavier precipitation of LTCs. Compared with four NWP models (i.e., ECMWF, GFS, GRAPES and SMS-WARMS), the overall forecasting performance of the DSAEF_LTP model achieves a better result in simulating precipitation at the thresholds over 250 mm and performs slightly better than NWP models at the thresholds over 100 mm. 相似文献
960.
We set four sets of simulation experiments to explore the impacts of horizontal resolution (HR) and vertical resolution (VR) on the microphysical structure and boundary layer fluxes of tropical cyclone (TC) Hato (2017). The study shows that higher HR tends to strengthen TC. Increasing VR in the upper layers tends to weaken TC, while increasing VR in the lower layers tends to strengthen TC. Simulated amounts of all hydrometeors were larger with higher HR. Increasing VR at the upper level enhanced the mixing ratios of cloud ice and cloud snow, while increasing VR at the lower level elevated the mixing ratios of graupel and rainwater. HR has greater impact on the distributions of hydrometeors. Higher HR has a more complete ring structure of the eyewall and more concentrated hydrometeors along the cloud wall. Increasing VR at the lower level has little impact on the distribution of TC hydrometeors, while increasing VR at the upper level enhances the cloud thickness of the eyewall area. Surface latent heat flux (SLHF) is influenced greatly by resolution. Higher HR leads to larger water vapor fluxes and larger latent heat, which would result in a stronger TC. A large amount of false latent heat was generated when HR was too high, leading to an extremely strong TC, VR has a smaller impact on SLHF than HR. But increasing VR at the upper-level reduces the SLHF and weakens TC, and elevating VR at the lower-level increases the SLHF and strengthens TC. The changes in surface water vapor flux and SLHF were practically identical and the simulation results were improved when HR and VR were more coordinated. The friction velocity was greater with higher VR.
Enhancing VR at the lower level increased the friction velocity, while increasing VR at the upper level reduced it. 相似文献